Descargar AudioLibro The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2Nd Ed.) de Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Descargar AudioLibro The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2Nd Ed.) de Nassim Nicholas Taleb año 2016

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  • Nombre del audiolibro: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2Nd Ed.)
  • Autor del audiolibroNassim Nicholas Taleb
  • Fecha de publicación: 2/2/2016
  • EditorialBALLANTINE BOOKS (RANDOM)
  • IdiomaInglés
  • Género o ColecciónCiencias
  • ISBN: 9780812973815
  • Valoración del audiolibro: 8.72 de un máximo de 10
  • Votos: 663
  • Autor(a) de la reseña: Lusia Sotero
  • Reseña valorada con una puntuación de 9.24 de un máximo de 10
  • Fecha reseña: 9/7/2018
  • Duración: 6 horas con 2 minutos (240 MB)
  • Fecha creación del audiolibro: 22/05/2018
  • Puedes escuchar el audiolibro en estos formatos: FLAC - TTA - Shorten - MP3 - WMA - WAV - AC3 - MPEG4 (compresión EML - JAR - RAR - ZIP)
  • Incluye un resumen PDF de 38 páginas
  • Duración del resumen (audio): 28 minutos (19 MB)
  • Servidores habilitados: Microsoft OneDrive - 4Shared - Dropbox - Demonoid - FreakShare - Torrent - Toorgle - BitShare - Mediafire - Wuala
  • Encuadernación del libro físico: Tapa Blanda
  • Descripción o resumen: The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.” For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan.

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